Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.002418 0.002568 0.002729 0.002914 0.003122 0.003352 0.003627
2025-01-12 0.002129 0.002324 0.002543 0.002811 0.003136 0.003521 0.004025
2025-01-19 0.001973 0.002198 0.002461 0.002799 0.003230 0.003779 0.004560
2025-01-26 0.001782 0.002008 0.002278 0.002633 0.003103 0.003728 0.004670
2025-02-02 0.001709 0.001951 0.002248 0.002652 0.003208 0.003988 0.005261
2025-02-09 0.001671 0.001932 0.002261 0.002722 0.003387 0.004376 0.006145
2025-02-16 0.001615 0.001886 0.002233 0.002732 0.003476 0.004642 0.006902
2025-02-23 0.001594 0.001881 0.002258 0.002816 0.003684 0.005132 0.008272
2025-03-02 0.001535 0.001822 0.002204 0.002780 0.003698 0.005291 0.009014
2025-03-09 0.001472 0.001755 0.002135 0.002714 0.003656 0.005341 0.009519
2025-03-16 0.001451 0.001744 0.002142 0.002764 0.003811 0.005791 0.011341
2025-03-23 0.001425 0.001723 0.002135 0.002791 0.003927 0.006194 0.013376
2025-03-30 0.001375 0.001670 0.002082 0.002745 0.003919 0.006351 0.014848
2025-04-06 0.001318 0.001606 0.002008 0.002663 0.003838 0.006334 0.015674
2025-04-13 0.001285 0.001574 0.001982 0.002655 0.003895 0.006660 0.018608
2025-04-20 0.001217 0.001489 0.001873 0.002506 0.003665 0.006227 0.017019
2025-04-27 0.001197 0.001472 0.001865 0.002523 0.003762 0.006654 0.021244
2025-05-04 0.001190 0.001474 0.001884 0.002587 0.003963 0.007433 0.031431
2025-05-11 0.001170 0.001455 0.001872 0.002596 0.004050 0.007924 0.043586
2025-05-18 0.001167 0.001461 0.001897 0.002672 0.004295 0.009047 0.100108
2025-05-25 0.001139 0.001430 0.001863 0.002639 0.004288 0.009294 0.161182
2025-06-01 0.001108 0.001392 0.001816 0.002580 0.004213 0.009261 0.217765
2025-06-08 0.001100 0.001389 0.001826 0.002626 0.004394 0.010350 NaN